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Social Distancing can reduce India’s Coronavirus cases by up to 62%: ICMR



Social Distancing can reduce India's Coronavirus cases by up to 62%: ICMR

Indians can do just one thing to help the country reduce the overall number of novel coronavirus cases by up to 62 per cent, that one thing would be: SOCIAL DISTANCING.

Based on the preliminary numbers, the ICMR study has suggested that screening of the traveller with symptoms of suspected Coronavirus could delay the introduction of the virus into the community by on-three weeks.

A study by experts at the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has estimated that India may be able to reduce its Covid-19 cases by 62 per cent if social distancing and quarantines are strictly observed.

The key to preventing the viral infection from spreading is imposing restrictions on the movement of people and keeping them from coming in contact with those who have contracted the disease or are showing its symptoms.

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Suspected cases will reduce the overall expected number of Covid-19 cases by 62 per cent (in India), thus flattening the curve and providing more opportunities for interventions,” the ICMR study says.

These model projections are subject to substantial uncertainty and can be further refined as more needs to understand about the rate at which the infection transmits among susceptible individuals, it said.

Based on this, for their predictions, researchers in ICMR’s study created two scenarios: optimistic scenario (when Ro is 1.5) and pessimistic scenario (when Ro is 4.9). These can be understood as the least risky and most risky scenarios.

The total number of novel coronavirus cases in the country rose to 433 on Monday after fresh cases were reported from various parts of the country. Seven deaths have been reported so far, according to the Union Health Ministry.

Via: India Today

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